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T20 Death Overs: How Many Runs in the Last 5 Overs by League?

Across 6,141 men's T20 first innings, the last five overs produced 49.3 runs on average. The scorecard at the 15-over mark tells you far more than the competition name.

Kenji Nakamura
Cricket Betting Tips specialist
Based in Japan6 min read
T20 Death Overs: How Many Runs in the Last 5 Overs by League?
49.3average first-innings runs in overs 16-20
29.4%share of first-innings runs from the last 5 overs
46.6%first innings adding more than 50.5 at the death
55.6death runs when 0-2 down after 15 overs

Death overs are where T20 totals are made or lost, and they are where many live run lines get priced. I wanted a plain answer: how many runs do teams actually add in overs 16-20 of the first innings, and how much does the wickets column change that? Across 6,141 full-length first innings the average was 49.3 runs, and those five overs produced 29.4% of all first-innings runs, despite being only a quarter of the overs.

The headline answer is that the league matters a little and wickets matter a lot. The gap between the highest and lowest competitions is a few runs. The gap between a side 0-2 down and a side 7 or more down after 15 overs is enormous. When I build a death-overs view for my free cricket tips page, I read the scorecard at 15 overs before I look at the competition name.

1League death-overs averages sit within a few runs

The CPL leads at 51.0 runs in overs 16-20, with the IPL on 50.9 and the LPL on 50.8 close behind. At the other end sit the BPL on 47.8 and the ILT20 on 47.6. The BBL lands on 48.0 and T20 internationals on 48.2, so the larger grounds and more disciplined death bowling in those formats pull them slightly below the franchise leaders.

I read this chart as a conditions map rather than a ranking. Caribbean venues with short boundaries reward clean hitting, while slower surfaces tend to blunt the yorker-length slog. Still, the whole spread is narrow, less than one productive over separates the top and bottom.

Runs in overs 16-20 by competitionFirst innings, average per innings
CPL
51 runs
IPL
50.9 runs
LPL
50.8 runs
PSL
50.4 runs
SA20
50.4 runs
T20 Blast
49.2 runs
T20I
48.2 runs
Super Smash
48.1 runs
MLC
48.1 runs
BBL
48 runs
BPL
47.8 runs
ILT20
47.6 runs
View the data: runs in overs 16-20 by competition
First innings, average per innings
CPL51 runs
IPL50.9 runs
LPL50.8 runs
PSL50.4 runs
SA2050.4 runs
T20 Blast49.2 runs
T20I48.2 runs
Super Smash48.1 runs
MLC48.1 runs
BBL48 runs
BPL47.8 runs
ILT2047.6 runs

For a bettor that means the league name alone is a weak adjustment. It nudges a number by a run or two, but it will not rescue a price that ignores the match situation.

2Wickets lost by over 15 decide the finish

This is the chart that matters most. Across all competitions, sides 0-2 down after 15 overs added 55.6 runs at the death (1,098 innings), and sides 3-4 down added 52.2 (2,980 innings). Drop to 5-6 down and the figure falls to 44.6 (1,680 innings), and with 7 or more gone it collapses to just 29.2 (383 innings).

The IPL shows the sharpest version: 56.3 runs for sides 0-2 down against 25.3 for sides 7+ down. The BBL is flatter, with 32.2 in that bottom column, which suggests lower orders there are slightly more capable of hanging on. Bear in mind that each league's 7+ down cell holds only 30-76 innings, so I treat those single figures as rough guides.

Wickets in hand drive the finishAverage overs 16-20 runs by wickets lost after 15 overs
0-2 down
3-4 down
5-6 down
7+ down
IPL
56.3 runs
53.1 runs
45.2 runs
25.3 runs
T20 Blast
56 runs
52 runs
45.2 runs
30.3 runs
T20I
54.6 runs
51.1 runs
43.3 runs
30.2 runs
BBL
53.1 runs
50 runs
43.4 runs
32.2 runs
All competitions
55.6 runs
52.2 runs
44.6 runs
29.2 runs

First innings. Each league 7+ down cell holds only 30-76 innings; every other cell has 100+.

View the data: wickets in hand drive the finish
0-2 down3-4 down5-6 down7+ down
IPL56.3 runs53.1 runs45.2 runs25.3 runs
T20 Blast56 runs52 runs45.2 runs30.3 runs
T20I54.6 runs51.1 runs43.3 runs30.2 runs
BBL53.1 runs50 runs43.4 runs32.2 runs
All competitions55.6 runs52.2 runs44.6 runs29.2 runs

Notice how gentle the slope is between 0-2 and 3-4 down, then how steep it becomes. Teams also lose an average of 2.6 wickets during the death overs themselves, so a side already five down has very little batting left to absorb that attrition.

3A 50.5 death-overs line is close to even

Across the full sample, first innings beat 45.5 death-overs runs in 60.1% of cases, 50.5 in 46.6% and 55.5 in 33.7%. Only 22.7% added more than 60.5, while 27.4% added 40 or fewer, so the tails are wide on both sides. That spread is the variance I always warn about: one dropped catch or one hat-trick over moves a total by a dozen runs.

By competition, the IPL clears 50.5 in 51.3% of innings and the PSL in 51.2%, while the BBL manages 42.5% and the ILT20 41.2%. The LPL beats 45.5 in 68.0% of innings and the SA20 clears 55.5 in 41.0%, but those come from 128 and 117 innings respectively, so I would not lean hard on either.

Death-overs linesShare of first innings beating each line in overs 16-20
CompetitionInningsAverageOver 45.5Over 50.5Over 55.5Share of total
IPL1,19950.964.2%51.3%36.7%30.0%
BBL60948.057.5%42.5%30.5%29.5%
T20 Blast1,41249.258.9%46.5%32.5%28.6%
PSL34250.464.3%51.2%38.9%29.6%
CPL39651.066.4%49.7%36.9%31.8%
BPL46147.854.4%44.0%31.7%30.3%
Super Smash23548.160.0%45.1%30.6%28.2%
SA2011750.465.0%50.4%41.0%30.1%
ILT2013147.655.0%41.2%32.8%29.2%
MLC10248.157.8%42.2%29.4%27.8%
LPL12850.868.0%51.6%37.5%30.0%
T20I1,00948.256.3%42.6%31.6%29.1%

The share-of-total column is remarkably steady, from 27.8% in the MLC to 31.8% in the CPL. Whatever the league, roughly three in ten first-innings runs arrive at the death.

4Death scoring has crept upward since 2012

The season average was 46.1 runs in 2012 and peaked at 51.4 in 2022, with 51.3 in 2025 not far behind. The line is not a smooth climb: it dipped to 47.2 in 2017 before jumping to 50.3 in 2018. The part-season 2026 figure sits at 49.7.

My main caveat belongs here. These are past frequencies from first innings only, and averages shift with ground sizes, impact-player rules and changing bowling plans from one season to the next. Recent seasons deserve more weight than the full 2005-2026 record, and nothing in these tables guarantees what the next innings will do.

Death-overs scoring by seasonAverage first-innings runs in overs 16-20
All competitions
40455055
49.7 runs
201220152018202120242026

2026 is a part-season. Smallest season: 147 innings.

View the data: death-overs scoring by season
All competitions
201246.1 runs
201348.4 runs
201449 runs
201548.8 runs
201647.5 runs
201747.2 runs
201850.3 runs
201948.3 runs
202049 runs
202149.3 runs
202251.4 runs
202349.9 runs
202450.2 runs
202551.3 runs
202649.7 runs

Betting notes

  • Check wickets before league. A side 0-2 down after 15 overs has averaged 55.6 death runs, while one 5-6 down has averaged 44.6. Adjust for the scorecard first and the competition second.
  • Treat 50.5 as near even. Only 46.6% of first innings cleared 50.5 at the death, so an over price at that line needs real support from conditions or batting depth to be worth taking.
  • Fade collapses, not slowdowns. The real drop arrives at 7+ down, where sides averaged just 29.2, and in the IPL 25.3. Moderate wicket losses cost far less than the panic in a live market can suggest.
Today's Cricket PredictionsOur latest picks, written with the same numbers in mind.
Cricket match predictions โ†’

Quick answers

How many runs are scored in the last 5 overs of a T20 innings?

Across 6,141 men's first innings, teams averaged 49.3 runs in overs 16-20. That accounted for 29.4% of all first-innings runs.

Which T20 league scores the most at the death?

The CPL has the highest first-innings death-overs average at 51.0 runs, just ahead of the IPL on 50.9. The ILT20 is lowest at 47.6.

How much do wickets in hand affect death-overs scoring?

A great deal. Sides 0-2 down after 15 overs averaged 55.6 runs in overs 16-20, while sides 7 or more down averaged only 29.2.

Kenji Nakamura
About the writerKenji Nakamura

I'm Kenji Nakamura, based in Tokyo, and I write all the cricket betting tips at bettips.vip โ€” reading the pitch as closely as the form.

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